Turkey has been a member of NATO since 1952 and is a key ally in the fight against terrorism and migration.
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However, Turkey's relationship with NATO has become more strained in recent years, due to a number of factors, including Turkey's growing authoritarianism under President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and its growing ties to Russia.
What is the future of NATO without Turkey?
The future of NATO without Turkey is uncertain. Turkey is a strategically important country, located at the crossroads of Europe and Asia. Its loss would be a blow to NATO's security and stability.
However, NATO is a strong and resilient alliance. It has survived the Cold War, the collapse of the Soviet Union, and the 9/11 terrorist attacks. It is likely that NATO would be able to adapt to the loss of Turkey, but it would be a significant challenge.
What are the implications of a Turkey-NATO split?
A Turkey-NATO split would have a number of implications. First, it would reduce NATO's military capabilities. Turkey has a large and well-equipped military, and its loss would be a significant blow to NATO's ability to defend its members.
Second, a Turkey-NATO split would weaken NATO's southern flank. Turkey is located on the border of Syria and Iraq, and it plays a key role in the fight against terrorism and migration. Its loss would make it more difficult for NATO to address these challenges.
Third, a Turkey-NATO split would damage NATO's unity and cohesion. Turkey is a key member of the alliance, and its loss would create a rift within NATO. This would make it more difficult for NATO to make decisions and take action.
What can NATO do to prevent a split with Turkey?
NATO needs to work with Turkey to address the underlying causes of the strain in the relationship. This includes addressing Turkey's concerns about security and its relations with its neighbors. NATO also needs to reassure Turkey of its commitment to its security.
If NATO is able to address Turkey's concerns and reassure Turkey of its commitment, then it may be possible to prevent a split. However, if the strain in the relationship continues, then a split is a real possibility.
